Opening Day Weather Forecast Countdown

My Desktop Weather says "Few Showers" (30%) and a high of 62°.

NOAA.GOV.. Put in Sanducky's zip code. it has active radar also.. it very very accurate.. it only goes 10 days though

Like I said, weather.com is probably one of the worst sites for accurate weather forecasting. The last model run shows NW Ohio coming underneath a trough. This could bring some showers and cooler weather to the region. This is still 180 hours out and at the very limit of predictability. Keep in mind that lots of things can change in that time.

Keep in mind that lots of things can change in that time.

And that weather is unpredictable.

I went to the park when the forcast was 60% showers, 50°....and it turned out to be partly cloudy with a high of 70°!
Some forcast that was.

Let's just hope that a low front doesnt roll in around Thursday. Just remember that low fronts are our enemy.:) *** Edited 4/29/2006 2:40:09 AM UTC by TTD 120mph***

TTD, you are 100% incorrect. You have to look at the correct sources and you obviously didn't. Just an FYI, most TV weathermen don't even have to hold a degree in meteorology. On the same note, weather.com forecasters forecast for such a large area, they just provide general forecasts for regions instead of local areas. If you want a forecast that, 90% of the time will come within 5 degrees of the temperature and accurately predict precip probabilities, you have to check the National Weather Service website. Oh, and I have no idea what a "low front" is.
*** Edited 4/29/2006 5:47:01 AM UTC by daboyes12***

I think he means a "cold front", or "low pressure area".

MrScott

I know that fishing really pics up just before a cold front blows through.

And you'll notice the website does not even have a Saturday May 6th forecast up yet...

Actually, right now it looks like some of the rain is going to start coming in on Thursday and Friday...where 2 days ago it was coming starting Friday night. Of course, there could be some coller temperatures behind that front, but temp is not important to me. I want "calm and sunny" Beyond that I dont care if its 50, 60, or 70.

There is a very big difference between a cold front and a low pressure area. I could go into detail if you would like.

No, I wouldn't.

MrScott

Yeah I meant a low pressure system....which basically is what brings rain and storms. Right now theres one over the midwest, one in West Canada, and one in Texas. There's a high pressure system in near New Mexico, Arizona, etc and one in East Canada.

SO let's see what happens.

Well, I have checked the latest model run and I have some pretty good news for your Cedar Point goers on Saturday. Starting at around 6 am on Saturday, trough moves through the region but chances of precip are still low. Looks like it will cool off the region slightly for the weekend to the mid 50s. Dewpoint will drop off with the passage of the trough keeping humidity down and chances of severe weather down. It doesn't look like there is going to be a strong front associated with the passing of this trough but that could very well change. If I were to make a forecast for the weekend without looking at guidance from the NWS or The Weather Channel, I would say temperatures in the mid to low 50s, partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain in the morning to early afternoon. I'll keep you posted as this changes and you know it will.

Lesson #1: Don't count on forecasts beyond 2 days.

MrScott

Lesson #2: This is Ohio, the weather changes every 15 minutes.

Lesson #3 You are around lots of Water the Forcast will always be different!

Lesson 4: I'm a meteorologist and I know more about weather than all of you combined.

Lesson#5.. I want some storms, dang it.
(Edit: Darn you getting #4 before me) *** Edited 5/1/2006 2:56:02 AM UTC by bholcomb***

I know more about weather than all of you combined.

Even if you count me? :)

Uh oh! It's on now!! :)

*** Edited 5/1/2006 4:05:43 AM UTC by TTD 120mph***

Well Walt, assuming you graduated from Penn State with a degree in Meteorology, I would say no. Heck, if you did that, I'm sure I know beans compared to you. If you are average Joe from State U, then I would say yes, unless of course you have a weather knee. No one can trump the weather knee.